Team of the Week: St. John’s - When we checked in on the Red Storm about 10 days ago, we pegged them at dead last to finish the season. This was based on a slow start and an unfavorable schedule. The Red Storm really improved their positioning this time around thanks to wins at South Florida and at Rutgers. While those teams aren’t exactly setting the conference on fire, St. John’s took care of business on the road and set themselves up to have a shot at making the Big East tourney with a couple breaks. Providence visits the Red Storm this week in another game that could be a confidence boost going down the stretch. Other climbers: Connecticut, Notre Dame, Louisville, Syracuse, Seton Hall.
The Biggest Loser: Pitt. This seems odd given the win over WVU that just gave the team a huge shot in the arm, but maybe we had the Panthers a little overrated to start out with. We certainly felt UConn was a winnable game for Pitt and had adjusted the standings accordingly. Now it just looks like the top tier of teams has passed up the Panthers just a bit and they may be playing their way out of a first-round Big East tournament bye. However, if the Panthers can use Ronald Ramon’s game-winner as a turning point and get contributions from a healthy Levance Fields, they won’t be down for long. Other decliners: Marquette, Villanova, DePaul, Providence, Rutgers, South Florida
Shake-Up Games This Week: Marquette at Notre Dame, Saturday. The projections love Notre Dame at home, so if the Eagles can pull out the upset they could launch back into the top four. Seton Hall at Villanova, Saturday. Both teams are on losing streaks but the winner here solidifies their position while the loser is in danger of missing the conference tourney.
March Madness Candidates: I think most people agree right now on six strong NCAA squads: Georgetown, UConn, Notre Dame, Louisville, Pitt, and Marquette. West Virginia still sits at 22-9 but they would be firmly on the bubble with lack of a solid road win, much as it was a season ago. Syracuse at 18-13 would probably feel left out as well for the second straight year. Villanova and Seton Hall could make a case for the NIT, as could Cincinnati with at least one win in the Big East tourney.
Projected Standings:
1. Georgetown, 15-3* [25-4], LW: 1
2. Connecticut, 15-3* [26-5], LW: 3
3. Notre Dame, 14-4 [24-6], LW: 5
4. Louisville, 13-5 [23-8], LW: 6
5. Pittsburgh, 12-6* [24-7], LW: 2
6. Marquette, 12-6* [22-7], LW: 4
7. West Virginia, 11-7 [22-9], LW: 7
8. Cincinnati, 10-8 [15-15], LW: 8
9. Syracuse, 8-10 [18-13], LW: 10
10. Villanova, 7-11* [17-13], LW: 9
11. Seton Hall, 7-11* [17-14], LW: 12
12. DePaul, 6-12 [11-19], LW: 11
13. St. John’s, 5-13* [11-19], LW: 16
14. Providence, 5-13* [14-16], LW: 13
15. Rutgers, 3-15 [11-18], LW: 14
16. South Florida, 1-17 [10-21], LW: 15
* - Tiebreaker applied